Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
67% YES
$61.5K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
Yes
67%
No
33%
Related Markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?4% YESNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...? December 31 12%Eurovision Winner 2026Finland 39%US forces enter Iran by..?December 31 62%Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.