Natural Disaster in 2026?
32% YES
$176.9K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
Yes
32%
No
69%
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What is the Natural Disaster in 2026? prediction market?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.