March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
28% YES
$80.0K volume · Resolves Apr 10, 2026 · 22 days left
Outcomes
1.15–1.19ºC
28%
1.20–1.24ºC
26%
1.10–1.14ºC
23%
<1.10ºC
14%
1.25–1.29ºC
9%
Related Markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?4% YESNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...? December 31 12%Eurovision Winner 2026Finland 39%US forces enter Iran by..?December 31 62%Frequently Asked Questions
What is the March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) prediction market?
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Apr 10, 2026.