Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
69% YES
$61.8K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
↑ 1550
69%
↑ 1600
33%
↑ 1650
14%
↑ 1700
10%
↑ 1500
100%
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What is the Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.