Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
2% YES
$138.2K volume · Resolves Mar 31, 2026 · 12 days left
Outcomes
Yes
2%
No
98%
Related Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Gavin Newsom 24%Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance 39%Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance 21%Venezuela leader end of 2026?Delcy Rodríguez 58%Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Mar 31, 2026.