Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
9% YES
$93.4K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
Yes
9%
No
92%
Related Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Gavin Newsom 24%Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance 39%Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance 21%Venezuela leader end of 2026?Delcy Rodríguez 58%Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.