Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
12% YES
$1.4M volume · Resolves Mar 31, 2026 · 12 days left
Outcomes
Yes
12%
No
88%
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What is the Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Mar 31, 2026.