Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
22% YES
$158.5K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
Yes
22%
No
78%
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What is the Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.