Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
100% YES
$69.7M volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
June 30
100%
December 31
100%
March 31
100%
January 31
0%
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What is the Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? prediction market?
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.