Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
39% YES
$74.4K volume · Resolves Jan 1, 2027 · 289 days left
Outcomes
December 31, 2026
39%
December 31
0%
September 30
0%
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What is the Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...? prediction market?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holding officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.