Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
7% YES
$141.6K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
Yes
7%
No
93%
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What is the Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? prediction market?
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.