Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
92% YES
$51.9K volume · Resolves Jun 30, 2026 · 103 days left
Outcomes
40%+
92%
45%+
50%
50%+
25%
60%+
16%
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What is the Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 30, 2026.