Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
14% YES
$43.9K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 286 days left
Outcomes
Yes
14%
No
86%
Related Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Chelsea Clinton 50%Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance 38%Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance 21%Venezuela leader end of 2026?Delcy Rodríguez 58%Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? prediction market?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.