Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
1% YES
$859.1K volume · Resolves Mar 31, 2026 · 12 days left
Outcomes
Yes
1%
No
99%
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What is the Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Mar 31, 2026.