Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
13% YES
$14.0M volume · Resolves Mar 31, 2026 · 12 days left
Outcomes
December 31
13%
March 31
1%
December 31, 2025
0%
January 31
0%
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What is the Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Mar 31, 2026.