Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
53% YES
$872.2K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
Yes
53%
No
48%
Related Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Chelsea Clinton 50%Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance 39%Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance 21%Venezuela leader end of 2026?Delcy Rodríguez 58%Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.