Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
9% YES
$1.6M volume · Resolves Jan 1, 2027 · 289 days left
Outcomes
Yes
9%
No
91%
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What is the Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? prediction market?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto
If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.