Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
49% YES
$97.9K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
Yes
49%
No
52%
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What is the Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.