Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
80% YES
$212.6K volume · Resolves Jul 30, 2026 · 133 days left
Outcomes
Hong Wang
80%
Jacob Tsimerman
63%
Yu Deng
53%
Sam Raskin
43%
Jack Thorne
41%
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What is the Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? prediction market?
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 30, 2026.