Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
83% YES
$189.1K volume · Resolves Oct 4, 2026 · 199 days left
Outcomes
Flavio Bolsonaro
83%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
80%
Fernando Haddad
9%
Tarcisio de Frietas
5%
Michelle Bolsonaro
5%
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What is the Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? prediction market?
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Oct 4, 2026.