US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
21% YES
$839.2K volume · Resolves Jun 30, 2026 · 103 days left
Outcomes
Yes
21%
No
80%
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What is the US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 30, 2026.