U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?
14% YES
$100.8K volume · Resolves Mar 31, 2026 · 12 days left
Outcomes
March 31
14%
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What is the U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Mar 31, 2026.