Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
84% YES
$1.7M volume · Resolves Mar 31, 2026 · 13 days left
Outcomes
June 30
84%
April 30
77%
March 31
44%
March 15
6%
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What is the Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Mar 31, 2026.