Lecornu out as French PM by...?
36% YES
$297.1K volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
December 31, 2026
36%
June 30, 2026
13%
October 31
0%
December 31, 2025
0%
November 30
0%
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What is the Lecornu out as French PM by...? prediction market?
On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.