Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
23% YES
$4.0M volume · Resolves Jun 30, 2026 · 103 days left
Outcomes
June 30
23%
March 31
7%
November 7
0%
October 31
0%
December 31
0%
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What is the Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? prediction market?
On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 30, 2026.