Iran leadership change by...?
62% YES
$2.1M volume · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 287 days left
Outcomes
December 31
62%
April 30
36%
March 31
14%
March 13
0%
Related Markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?4% YESWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?28% YESWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?45% YESWill Trump meet with Putin again by...?March 31, 2026 1%Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Iran leadership change by...? prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026.