Fed rate hike in 2026?
16% YES
$186.5K volume · Resolves Dec 9, 2026 · 265 days left
Outcomes
Yes
16%
No
84%
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What is the Fed rate hike in 2026? prediction market?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 9, 2026.