2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
97% YES
$68.5K volume · Resolves Apr 10, 2026 · 22 days left
Outcomes
4th or lower
97%
3rd hottest
2%
2nd hottest
1%
1st hottest
1%
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What is the 2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? prediction market?
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 versus the data points available for all other Marches on record.
Note: If March 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for March 2026 is provided by NASA by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Apr 10, 2026.